One thing is for sure: Facebook’s domination of both audience and of digital advertising spend has caused one set of problems after the other for publishers. Essentially Facebook, which does not like to identify itself as a media company, is trying to find ways for visitors to stay in its app rather than clicking through to a publisher site. This has frightened publishers, for obvious reasons. In fact, it has frightened them so much that they have begun to see Facebook as a true competitor rather than just a distribution channel. Every time Facebook makes a change, which is often, publishers stand to lose more advertising dollars.
To this end, many premium publishers have already gone to a subscription model to increase revenue. The New York Times allows ten free articles a month. The Economist allows three free articles a week, and the Wall Street Journal has a hard paywall. This in addition to advertising.
Now Facebook has jumped on that bandwagon as well. Facebook is going to allow people to subscribe to publications through its app. The feature will roll out by year’s end.
Although publishers have asked for this since the advent of Instant Articles, the details of how it will work and how publishers will be paid are not clear:
There are a lot of details to be worked out, including what the model would look like, what subscriber data publishers would get and how the revenue would be distributed. Facebook has moved toward a metered model, and while nothing is final, the latest proposal involves a metered model where users could read up to 10 articles for free a month before being required to subscribe. Publishers would be able to decide if each article is subject to that meter, free or behind a hard paywall, according to people familiar with the discussions.
There’s another big question: how will readers subscribe? If it’s through Instant Articles, Facebook will have to convince publishers who have already bailed on it. The move comes after many publishers, seeing no value from Instant Articles, moved toward Google’s Amp pages. The New York Times bailed early in the year, and even smaller publishers do not push all their content through IA.
Of course subscriptions could be sold through the App Store and the Google Play store, although Apple takes a 30% cut of whatever is sold through its store. And you’d expect Facebook to want a cut as well, so…
One thing is certain. Publishers who aren’t on the ball and using every technique at their disposal to maximize revenue will once again take some sort of haircut. And they’ll be spending the summer figuring out how short that haircut will be.